Time and estimates  ·  3 min read

Compare estimates with actual time once a month, by type of work, not by person. Look for patterns: which kinds of work run over, and why. The usual causes are review rounds, waiting and unclear briefs, not slow people. Use what you find to set better estimates, not to judge.

A three-task PERT estimate with expected values and rangesBest / likely / worst, in daysResearch 2 / 3 / 63.3 ± 0.7Design 3 / 5 / 95.3 ± 1.0Build 5 / 8 / 158.7 ± 1.7Project17.3 days, likely 15.3–19.4Expected = (best + 4 × likely + worst) ÷ 6.
The gap is information, not a verdict.
1Time and estimates

Why the gap is almost always there

People estimate the work they can picture: writing the draft, building the page. They forget the work they cannot: waiting for input, the second round of changes, the meeting about the changes. So most estimates come in low.

2Time and estimates

Step 1: Collect the numbers

For each finished task: the estimate, the actual time, and the type of work. A month of data is enough to start.

Type of workEstimatedActualGap
Blog posts4 h6.5 h+63%
Client reports2 h2.5 h+25%
Landing pages10 h19 h+90%
3Time and estimates

Step 2: Look at types, not people

Group by type of work first. If every landing page runs 90% over, it is a planning problem, not a person problem.

4Time and estimates

Step 3: Find the causes

For the types with the biggest gaps, look at three or four tasks closely. Ask:

  • How many review rounds did it take?
  • How long did it wait for input or approval?
  • Was the brief clear at the start?
  • Did the scope change?

Often the actual work was close to the estimate. The extra time was rework and waiting.

5Time and estimates

Step 4: Fix the estimate or fix the cause

Two choices for each pattern:

  • Fix the estimate. "Landing pages take about 19 hours with two rounds. Plan for that."
  • Fix the cause. "Landing pages run over because the copy arrives late. Make copy a must-have before design starts."

Fixing the cause is better when you can.

6Time and estimates

Keep it blameless

  • Talk about the work, not the person.
  • Never use the numbers in performance reviews.
  • Say what you learned, out loud, as a team.

If people fear the review, they will pad estimates or hide time. Then the data is useless.

7Time and estimates

Use ranges next time

For new or uncertain work, use three estimates: best, likely, worst. The PERT calculator turns them into an honest range.

8Time and estimates

Real time, by task, without a stopwatch culture

M-Tracker times each task as people work and shows estimate against actual, including time spent on work that came back. You can see which types of work run over and why. No screenshots and no activity tracking.

How M-Tracker helps

Where M-Tracker fits

M-Tracker gives every task a clear brief and every finished piece of work a first review, in plain words, before it reaches the manager. No screenshots, no scores.

Try M-Tracker free14-day trial. No credit card. No employee surveillance.

How a task moves through M-Tracker: brief, work, review, improve, then the manager1BriefResult, audience,must include, due.Files and linksattached.2WorkThe person does itand attaches whatthey made.3ReviewM-Tracker comparesthe work with thebrief. One plainparagraph.4ImproveThey fix what ismissing while it isfresh.5ManagerSees work thatalready passed itsown test.No screenshots. No scores. The person sees the review first.
FAQ

Questions people ask

How often should we review?

Monthly, for 20 minutes. Quarterly for bigger patterns.

What if someone always runs over?

Look at their tasks' briefs and review rounds first. Talk privately, with examples, only if the pattern is clearly about them.

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